It's well over the threshold now, nothing untoward yet (I would estimate it being at about the equivalent of 140% so far).
There's some new daily entries in the NVR logs, so assume there's a housekeeping script to calculate demand for the next x hours when the 10% threshold is breached and delete a certain number of older files accordingly:
2014-08-19 11:03:19 Recycle over
2014-08-19 10:56:42 Recycle started
The recycle times vary per day.